bytheriversofb
0x91ef1ffec4d7a98353cfeeeb1e4fc832f31bb0f2
- Realised P&L
- $-571.07
- Volume
- $186.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,732
- Open portfolio
- $70.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,732
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.850Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
- +$258.54at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?
- +$224.13at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28?
- +$183.04at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 11?
- +$139.88at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.44 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.1609999994 | $4.08 |
| 11-01 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4399999022 | $1.62 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0680737096 | $6.26 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0242522384 | $1.73 |
| 11-01 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4899999638 | $1.76 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.774390837 | $7.11 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4599999462 | $3.76 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.5799999719 | $4.13 |
| 11-01 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3049999888 | $7.75 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.74 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8599999926 | $6.96 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8599999951 | $3.48 |
| 11-01 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4199999414 | $1.29 |