Natsan
0x91e517cc3687db44a31fa01cee27cdc540b10947
- Realised P&L
- $-19.3k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 3,795
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,795
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.506Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
- +$763.98at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$727.68at 0.854Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$559.00at 0.831Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$541.23at 0.903Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 00:52 | Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | SELL | 0.990545343 | $72.64 |
| 10-24 21:57 | Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-24 21:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.171 | $64.98 |
| 10-24 21:56 | WHOOP IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.966 | $172.14 |
| 10-24 21:09 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $14.10 |
| 10-24 21:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.9767661325 | $414.44 |
| 10-24 21:08 | Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.909 | $90.90 |
| 10-24 21:08 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.75 | $67.50 |
| 10-13 00:43 | Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1610646181 | $14.78 |
| 10-13 00:43 | Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6645452066 | $48.73 |
| 10-05 00:29 | Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? | SELL | 0.0227961538 | $2.96 |
| 10-04 12:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 10-01 19:49 | Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.49 | $32.61 |
| 09-28 18:27 | Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.2064099825 | $48.30 |
| 09-28 03:41 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.5667677448 | $50.46 |