PolyBot

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Traders

Natsan

0x91e517cc3687db44a31fa01cee27cdc540b10947

Realised P&L
$-13.4k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
3,787
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,787
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.2610.399$453.70+$156.98
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.8920.950$427.50+$25.91
Remote IPO before 2027? · No0.8490.940$417.36+$40.42
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7510.857$396.22+$48.85
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5960.925$392.69+$139.74
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.9460.995$326.20+$15.88
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.6960.515$287.04$101.07
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7960.835$214.00+$9.90
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.2880.390$204.74+$53.33
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? · No0.8130.990$197.90+$35.23
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? · Yes0.3710.660$188.10+$82.30
WHOOP IPO before 2027? · No0.8400.988$175.97+$26.28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7530.459$174.42$111.88
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9250.999$159.84+$11.81
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6380.625$155.63$3.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 00:24Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?SELL0.88$66.00
09-12 14:43Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?SELL0.3$30.00
09-11 22:49Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?BUY0.73$6.00
09-11 22:49Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?BUY0.71$40.34
09-11 15:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.66$69.72
09-11 02:33Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?SELL0.0490204$9.80
09-11 02:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?BUY0.899$89.90
09-10 11:52Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?SELL0.4286931399$125.61
09-09 20:47Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?BUY0.81$5.09
09-09 20:47Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?BUY0.7960124$199.00
09-08 01:28Will Team Heretics Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
09-07 17:42Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.159$3.18
09-07 17:42Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.69$13.80
09-07 17:36Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.69$57.27
09-07 17:35Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.1494883999$12.50