Natsan
0x91e517cc3687db44a31fa01cee27cdc540b10947
- Realised P&L
- $-13.4k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 3,787
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,787
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.004Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?
- +$1.7kat 0.008Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?
- +$1.5kat 0.506Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
- +$763.98at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$727.68at 0.854Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:24 | Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | SELL | 0.88 | $66.00 |
| 09-12 14:43 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 22:49 | Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.73 | $6.00 |
| 09-11 22:49 | Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.71 | $40.34 |
| 09-11 15:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.66 | $69.72 |
| 09-11 02:33 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | SELL | 0.0490204 | $9.80 |
| 09-11 02:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.899 | $89.90 |
| 09-10 11:52 | Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.4286931399 | $125.61 |
| 09-09 20:47 | Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.09 |
| 09-09 20:47 | Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7960124 | $199.00 |
| 09-08 01:28 | Will Team Heretics Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-07 17:42 | Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.159 | $3.18 |
| 09-07 17:42 | Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-07 17:36 | Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.69 | $57.27 |
| 09-07 17:35 | Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.1494883999 | $12.50 |