PolyBot

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Traders

Natsan

0x91e517cc3687db44a31fa01cee27cdc540b10947

Realised P&L
$-19.3k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
3,795
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,795
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Remote IPO before 2027? · No0.8490.963$427.35+$50.41
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.8920.935$420.98+$19.39
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7500.939$93.85+$18.85
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.3900.510$30.60+$7.20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5480.485$29.10−$3.80
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? · Yes0.8400.941$18.81+$2.01
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$53.39
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$14.78
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00−$48.38
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.2880.000$0.00−$151.42
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$36.60
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00−$218.53
Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? · No0.8860.000$0.00−$56.58
Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$14.48
Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$13.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 00:52Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?SELL0.990545343$72.64
10-24 21:57Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$18.20
10-24 21:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.171$64.98
10-24 21:56WHOOP IPO before 2027?SELL0.966$172.14
10-24 21:09Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.003$14.10
10-24 21:09Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.9767661325$414.44
10-24 21:08Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.909$90.90
10-24 21:08Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.75$67.50
10-13 00:43Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?BUY0.1610646181$14.78
10-13 00:43Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?BUY0.6645452066$48.73
10-05 00:29Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?SELL0.0227961538$2.96
10-04 12:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.37$29.60
10-01 19:49Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?BUY0.49$32.61
09-28 18:27Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?SELL0.2064099825$48.30
09-28 03:41Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.5667677448$50.46