pashokthepashtet
0x91e4b1fa55f1b2dde4266de171f762ad91a626cc
- Realised P&L
- $19.56
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $158.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.953 | $55.91 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.960 | $53.40 | +$0.53 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.970 | $49.48 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.02at 0.944Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.00at 0.940Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- +$1.90at 0.935US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.946Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.940Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:34 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $50.96 |
| 04-20 07:52 | Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.9579999984 | $21.57 |