PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

efesf321

0x91dc2b851ebc3539c225e58ecbb98071455d8bbc

Realised P&L
$-107.44
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$2.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$1.14−$10.25
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? · No0.9600.972$1.09+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 16:19Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?BUY0.96$1.08
09-06 13:32Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.996$1.13
08-27 14:22Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryBUY0.629999792$1.03
06-11 22:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.9929993419$1.10
06-11 22:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$1.05
06-11 22:21Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
06-11 22:21Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.04
06-11 22:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 13?BUY0.999$1.04
06-11 22:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 13?BUY0.9989990961$1.05
06-11 22:20Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.998$1.02
06-11 22:20Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.999$1.03
06-11 22:20SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.9769999834$1.00
06-11 22:19SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.9909999962$1.04
06-11 22:19Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.995$1.20
04-10 14:44Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$10.17