0x91D692fF91D2B21c4880cA04B0Ee300104FCB2E5-1734079287627
0x91d692ff91d2b21c4880ca04b0ee300104fcb2e5
- Realised P&L
- $9.67
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $26.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $14.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $12.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.813Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
- +$0.19at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
- +$0.15at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?
- +$0.14at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 20:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.50 |
| 09-27 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $8.50 |
| 09-25 21:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.00 |
| 09-24 01:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 20:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9959999953 | $14.50 |
| 09-19 20:41 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9939999951 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 10:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.993749269 | $26.00 |
| 09-13 21:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $24.90 |
| 09-02 17:09 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.00 |
| 08-28 14:37 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.00 |
| 08-28 08:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9939999928 | $24.10 |
| 08-24 01:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.86 |
| 08-22 21:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.9959999374 | $14.20 |
| 08-20 12:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.00 |