PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

plyhu

0x91d3f63948bad2a19b8b286e540f07c748b606e3

Realised P&L
$77.53
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$195.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No0.7700.876$184.69+$22.35
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.6200.880$8.80+$2.60
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.7900.075$2.25−$21.45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$21.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$20.00
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes0.6940.000$0.00−$56.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 16:03Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.7699999998$162.34
06-12 06:19Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.6$10.00
06-12 06:17Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.85$10.00
06-12 06:14Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
06-12 06:07Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?BUY0.8899999715$30.00
06-12 06:06Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?BUY0.58$17.40
06-09 20:42Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?BUY0.9349717171$30.00
05-17 07:57Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.8299999989$23.00
05-17 07:56Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
05-17 07:53Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
05-17 07:48CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?SELL0.7347016$91.84
05-13 18:28Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6099999986$40.00
05-11 17:55Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.75$30.00
05-07 16:41Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.64$26.73
05-07 16:38Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?BUY0.8599999989$30.00