plyhu
0x91d3f63948bad2a19b8b286e540f07c748b606e3
- Realised P&L
- $77.53
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $195.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No | 0.770 | 0.876 | $184.69 | +$22.35 |
| X banned in any European country by December 31? · No | 0.620 | 0.880 | $8.80 | +$2.60 |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.075 | $2.25 | −$21.45 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes | 0.694 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.25at 0.680Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$41.46at 0.707US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
- +$25.57at 0.610Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$20.24at 0.540Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
- +$18.88at 0.728Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 16:03 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $162.34 |
| 06-12 06:19 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 06:17 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 06:14 | Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 06:07 | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)? | BUY | 0.8899999715 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 06:06 | Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 06-09 20:42 | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)? | BUY | 0.9349717171 | $30.00 |
| 05-17 07:57 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.8299999989 | $23.00 |
| 05-17 07:56 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 07:53 | Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 05-17 07:48 | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | SELL | 0.7347016 | $91.84 |
| 05-13 18:28 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099999986 | $40.00 |
| 05-11 17:55 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 05-07 16:41 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.73 |
| 05-07 16:38 | Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $30.00 |