apol1
0x91d2bbb2ce06a241aef64f108a5a07fb86888f47
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $159.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $21.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $17.60 | +$5.63 |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.029 | $3.47 | −$16.53 |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.86 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.37at 0.930Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$137.49at 0.566Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$60.80at 0.650Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
- +$20.30at 0.481Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$10.86at 0.949Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-24 21:57 | Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | BUY | 0.6799999886 | $11.97 |
| 12-24 21:53 | Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 12-24 21:51 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.266362808 | $20.00 |
| 12-24 21:50 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.2631912341 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 01:43 | Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.0899999883 | $6.86 |
| 06-13 16:13 | Israel strikes Iranian oil in June? | BUY | 0.7199999709 | $4.94 |
| 06-13 05:53 | Iran strike on Israel in June? | SELL | 0.986 | $4.94 |
| 06-13 05:50 | Iran strike on Israel in June? | BUY | 0.9889999631 | $4.96 |
| 05-07 15:07 | Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | BUY | 0.6799999436 | $2.41 |
| 05-07 15:06 | Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | SELL | 0.024115951 | $1.56 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | BUY | 0.0789999658 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | BUY | 0.0907730675 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 08:13 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.84 |