Notard
0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $97.5k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.03at 0.289US military action against Iran before July?
- +$334.83at 0.464Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$270.90at 0.720Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
- +$207.66at 0.759 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$177.20at 0.838Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:00 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 07:50 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 07:46 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8118811511 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 07:43 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9784399318 | $137.80 |
| 08-02 07:15 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $21.00 |
| 08-02 07:14 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8026634954 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:14 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.7961387272 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $45.61 |
| 08-02 05:02 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 05:01 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? | BUY | 0.9649999999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $67.11 |
| 08-02 04:59 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.60 |