Notard
0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $107.3k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.03at 0.289US military action against Iran before July?
- +$334.83at 0.464Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$270.90at 0.720Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
- +$207.66at 0.759 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$177.20at 0.838Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:58 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $49.00 |
| 09-16 15:58 | Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.9305479397 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 22:49 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.882352936 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 22:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 22:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $117.31 |
| 09-10 18:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.9371893686 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 18:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.9308921487 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 11:58 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | SELL | 0.975 | $152.85 |
| 09-04 18:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 18:50 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 18:49 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 18:48 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $200.00 |