PolyBot

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Traders

Notard

0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$107.3k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8330.925$499.59+$49.59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? · No0.9280.944$498.55+$8.55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · No0.9180.994$467.28+$35.28
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · No0.9010.925$420.66+$10.67
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9240.970$351.94+$16.69
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · No0.9100.925$304.94+$4.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7480.795$249.65+$14.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.7010.705$201.07+$1.07
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.725$76.32$23.68
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? · No0.9600.955$49.74$0.26
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · No0.8800.885$49.28+$0.28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3800.335$22.04$2.96
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.8770.016$17.21$925.79
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026? · No0.5680.000$0.00$91.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:58Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999986$49.00
09-16 15:58Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?BUY0.96$50.00
09-16 15:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7699999992$50.00
09-16 15:53Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?BUY0.9305479397$100.00
09-16 15:53Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$100.00
09-10 22:49Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?BUY0.882352936$20.00
09-10 22:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.91$100.00
09-10 22:46Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?SELL0.97$117.31
09-10 18:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.9371893686$100.00
09-10 18:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.9308921487$50.00
09-10 11:58Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?SELL0.975$152.85
09-04 18:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3799999945$25.00
09-04 18:50Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
09-04 18:49Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?BUY0.92$100.00
09-04 18:48Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.7799999995$200.00