PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Notard

0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$97.5k
Markets traded
269
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded269
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · No0.9480.955$443.39+$3.39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · No0.9100.900$421.20$4.80
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? · No0.9560.960$351.58+$1.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6900.995$331.73+$101.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8190.999$325.42+$58.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9151.000$316.82+$26.82
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8090.900$289.38+$29.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.8460.984$281.48+$39.48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.6120.790$232.23+$52.23
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8230.905$179.18+$16.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.5980.315$148.64$133.68
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.7641.000$146.56+$34.56
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · No0.7520.870$109.88+$14.88
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? · No0.8340.840$88.60+$0.60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9440.977$82.78+$2.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:00Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
08-02 07:51Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.8$15.00
08-02 07:50Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.9$40.00
08-02 07:48Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8299999701$20.00
08-02 07:48Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.8$40.00
08-02 07:46Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8118811511$20.00
08-02 07:43Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9784399318$137.80
08-02 07:15Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?BUY0.92$21.00
08-02 07:14Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8026634954$5.00
08-02 07:14Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.7961387272$20.00
08-02 07:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.29$45.61
08-02 05:02Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.92$20.00
08-02 05:01Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?BUY0.9649999999$50.00
08-02 05:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.32$67.11
08-02 04:59Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.16$3.60