PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

re4der

0x91c572a0d13c02136efb9252cc3b49408557c7bb

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$229.4k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8300.905$543.00+$45.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · No0.5660.565$526.73$1.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.655$503.85+$3.85
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.380$418.00+$82.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.9000.962$384.60+$24.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.6901.000$299.90+$92.87
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.760$262.23$27.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6770.265$204.84$318.27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.9600.958$191.60$0.40
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2440.115$103.50$115.82
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$97.50$2.50
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$92.50+$0.50
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.7700.968$62.86+$12.86
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · No0.6400.880$44.00+$12.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1300.135$10.80+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.39$39.00
07-25 20:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.872$87.20
07-25 20:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?SELL0.996$199.20
07-25 20:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.872$436.00
07-23 20:51Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
07-23 20:48Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$135.52
07-23 20:45Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$246.14
07-23 20:45Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$235.59
07-23 20:44Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
07-23 19:30Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?BUY0.72$44.64
07-23 19:30Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?BUY0.72$18.00
07-23 19:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?BUY0.59$23.54
07-16 13:27Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.7699999969$50.00
07-14 08:45Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.038$1.14
07-14 08:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.13$10.40