PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cipekci

0x91b93899bf419683753566803ec070949910ef36

Realised P&L
$-405.14
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
695
Open portfolio
$166.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded695
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.4900.505$20.62+$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.1870.415$15.43+$8.47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.3400.395$13.94+$1.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20? · No0.7500.865$13.84+$1.84
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? · No0.6400.725$13.59+$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.4550.565$12.41+$2.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? · No0.4900.490$12.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? · No0.4800.435$10.88$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · No0.7230.650$10.78$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? · No0.7600.780$10.26+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? · Yes0.3100.225$8.71$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 19? · Yes0.3900.270$8.31$3.69
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · No0.6000.565$7.53$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.1610.125$4.86$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20? · No0.6000.590$2.95$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.55$11.72
09-18 18:10Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.18$11.17
09-18 16:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
09-18 13:36Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.4554184711$10.00
09-18 13:21Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.5$10.00
09-18 13:06Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?BUY0.1610030864$6.26
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.6$3.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.7233862245$12.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 19?BUY0.3899999971$12.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.5629629491$12.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.1873111051$6.97
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.3099999954$12.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.3399999966$12.00
09-18 12:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.48$12.00