PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ster

0x91b906c731d8096986fddb089739bfb339dcdcd8

Realised P&L
$32.6k
Volume
$337.0k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.8270.977$902.78+$137.93
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2580.165$330.00$185.69
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No0.9030.926$224.90+$5.66
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.8900.947$39.78+$2.39
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.1400.165$6.76+$1.02
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · Yes0.0910.210$6.63+$3.74
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · Yes0.8100.535$1.14$0.59
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$15.56
Another commercial airline evacuation before March? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$91.83
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$25.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:15Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?SELL0.33$0.43
09-10 07:55OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.25784795$515.70
09-09 07:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$525.00
08-12 22:59Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.7$252.00
04-28 18:54Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?SELL0.13$28.10
03-23 21:25Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.53$79.50
03-22 16:45Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.3$39.00
03-22 14:38Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.39$97.50
03-20 10:46Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?SELL0.7588578383$324.23
03-20 09:26Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.4329292543$56.61
03-20 09:15Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.3432996107$241.61
03-13 06:23Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.850551901$164.21
12-20 15:41German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?SELL0.010024431$5.04
12-17 18:04Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?BUY0.096823554$50.87
12-12 02:15Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?BUY0.8953127903$221.69