viciousbadger
0x91b546df02fe71ffde49a713f2e9f69d56bcfe65
- Realised P&L
- $-44.18
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $9.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.051 | $9.27 | −$23.13 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.25at 0.190Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$6.62at 0.559Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$2.93at 0.830Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$2.20at 0.780Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.68at 0.790Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 20:10 | Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.68 |
| 03-15 20:08 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.055 | $2.20 |
| 03-15 20:07 | Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 03-15 20:06 | Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0372204 | $0.93 |
| 03-15 20:04 | Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.112 | $1.08 |
| 03-15 20:04 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 03-15 20:01 | Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 03-15 20:01 | Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 03-15 20:00 | Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 03-15 19:57 | Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.75 |
| 03-15 19:56 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 19:55 | Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.35 |
| 03-15 19:55 | Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 19:53 | Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.559 | $8.39 |
| 03-15 19:49 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |