0x91b53cb223b5b3a6f647a601e36711b22e31f3a4
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.560 | $5.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.250 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$3.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $1.43 | +$0.17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $1.02 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.48at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2?
- +$-0.54at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?
- +$-1.80at 0.359Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 11-01 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 11-01 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 07:33 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 07:33 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 07:31 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 11-01 06:15 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |