idkwid
0x91b13b0a8598d55b43e83cadd0e3cd5d66e6cee1
- Realised P&L
- $-23.2k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.125 | $3.4k | +$346.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.446Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.792US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.328US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.760US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.852Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.0k |
| 09-23 14:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $20.02 |
| 09-23 14:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.0k |
| 09-23 14:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $261.51 |
| 09-23 09:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $650.63 |
| 09-23 09:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $621.55 |
| 09-20 18:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199800033 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $459.41 |
| 09-20 17:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 09-20 16:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1839035042 | $1000.00 |
| 09-20 16:05 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 09-20 08:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 09-19 10:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 09-09 18:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 18:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $572.85 |