FernandoVII
0x91adb56d113fe26fd335058e7ccde92d55f71ee5
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $62.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $44.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.250 | $44.34 | −$5.65 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$19.59 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$392.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$495.85at 0.556Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$472.32at 0.396Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$467.95at 0.459Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$381.65at 0.570Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$371.23at 0.864Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 03:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 150 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-26 08:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.0110567943 | $4.68 |
| 09-26 08:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.012444731 | $9.02 |
| 09-26 08:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.0175162381 | $3.68 |
| 09-26 05:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.17058243 | $52.72 |
| 09-25 05:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.2111274693 | $22.66 |
| 09-23 09:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.39 | $46.80 |
| 09-23 08:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.385 | $19.25 |
| 09-23 08:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.379 | $22.94 |
| 09-23 08:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.319 | $64.79 |
| 09-22 12:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $73.50 |
| 09-20 08:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $457.52 |
| 09-20 08:45 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $55.20 |
| 09-20 06:54 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.0014444444 | $0.32 |
| 09-11 09:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | SELL | 0.007 | $7.00 |