CaballoParaguallo
0x91ad42250b9c63ddc516905fdb16f5293ea6a5ca
- Realised P&L
- $-27.0k
- Volume
- $3.38M
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.591Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.9kat 0.021Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$2.8kat 0.350UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$2.2kat 0.515Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$1.8kat 0.385Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.303958458 | $36.58 |
| 10-04 17:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.303 | $18.08 |
| 10-04 17:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.299 | $35.55 |
| 10-04 13:06 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | SELL | 0.4295652174 | $9.88 |
| 10-04 04:57 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0697522965 | $48.52 |
| 10-04 04:57 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $51.63 |
| 10-04 04:24 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $105.91 |
| 10-04 04:22 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0789967139 | $65.39 |
| 10-04 04:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4014521671 | $123.37 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.398 | $11.94 |
| 10-04 04:12 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.077 | $2.63 |
| 10-04 04:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.396 | $6.05 |
| 10-04 04:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3956637347 | $74.22 |
| 10-04 04:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.639 | $445.93 |
| 10-04 04:03 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |