PolyBot

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Traders

CaballoParaguallo

0x91ad42250b9c63ddc516905fdb16f5293ea6a5ca

Realised P&L
$-27.0k
Volume
$3.38M
Markets traded
407
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded407
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 17:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.303958458$36.58
10-04 17:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.303$18.08
10-04 17:21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.299$35.55
10-04 13:06Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.4295652174$9.88
10-04 04:57Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0697522965$48.52
10-04 04:57Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.39$51.63
10-04 04:24Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.4$105.91
10-04 04:22Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0789967139$65.39
10-04 04:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4014521671$123.37
10-04 04:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.398$11.94
10-04 04:12Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.077$2.63
10-04 04:11Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.396$6.05
10-04 04:11Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3956637347$74.22
10-04 04:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.639$445.93
10-04 04:03Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.08$3.00