Ez4M3
0x919a290df135dc5ae76c124017ac7d74511e1d44
- Realised P&L
- $-23.24
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.820 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.640 | 0.625 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Movsar Evloev | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.80at 0.710Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$5.63at 0.640Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.
- +$1.40at 0.860Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$1.12at 0.890Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.920Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:58 | Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 20:40 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 20:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $193.41 |
| 01-28 19:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999974 | $197.06 |
| 01-28 19:55 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.897 | $19.08 |
| 01-28 19:55 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $61.39 |
| 01-28 19:55 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $21.12 |
| 01-21 21:11 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999862 | $20.00 |
| 01-21 21:09 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999862 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 23:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 23:08 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 11-22 16:40 | Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? | SELL | 0.935 | $10.15 |
| 10-05 04:39 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 03:08 | Procházka vs. Rountree Jr. | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |