PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03

0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d

Realised P&L
$52.1k
Volume
$3.65M
Markets traded
664
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded664
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · Yes0.0890.995$5.2k+$4.7k
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · Yes0.5500.457$1.3k$255.84
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? · No0.5500.472$472.00$78.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? · No0.9001.000$145.02+$14.44
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · Yes0.1700.998$108.38+$89.91
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$165.85
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$3.5k
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$15.27
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1? · No0.0030.000$0.00$0.03
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? · No0.3510.000$0.00$910.99
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$57.32
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$117.20
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$42.12
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$3.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:38Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.55$549.99
08-03 01:38Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.55$1.5k
07-28 00:01Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.0772727273$3.06
07-28 00:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.8490823466$1.2k
07-27 02:32Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?BUY0.9$130.58
07-27 02:32Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?SELL0.001$1.12
07-27 01:49Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.6917706832$538.56
07-25 23:04Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?SELL0.8338415002$512.04
07-25 22:24Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?SELL0.05$1.25
07-25 16:35Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?SELL0.1511478059$23.39
07-25 04:34Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?SELL0.999$1.1k
07-25 02:43Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?BUY0.65$35.64
07-24 20:17Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?BUY0.4$2.4k
07-24 01:52Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?SELL0.05$0.28
07-22 14:12Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?SELL0.15$43.20