0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03
0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d
- Realised P&L
- $56.5k
- Volume
- $3.74M
- Markets traded
- 740
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded740
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.192Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
- +$6.0kat 0.161Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?
- +$5.0kat 0.470Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
- +$4.7kat 0.089Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$4.6kat 0.056Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 03:16 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? | BUY | 0.696 | $34.80 |
| 10-17 03:16 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | BUY | 0.0899467519 | $8.45 |
| 10-17 01:06 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? | BUY | 0.66 | $494.99 |
| 10-16 14:50 | Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.7517238339 | $2.5k |
| 10-05 02:29 | Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m? | BUY | 0.399095581 | $263.26 |
| 10-04 14:08 | Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m? | BUY | 0.1986619871 | $155.94 |
| 10-03 23:29 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m? | BUY | 0.5957246687 | $69.67 |
| 10-01 02:11 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.722365241 | $478.82 |
| 09-28 05:21 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | SELL | 0.999 | $379.62 |
| 09-27 18:01 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.5136483658 | $63.81 |
| 09-27 17:59 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? | SELL | 0.5157632299 | $32.07 |
| 09-27 15:27 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? | BUY | 0.26 | $217.63 |
| 09-27 15:09 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? | BUY | 0.693 | $339.96 |
| 09-27 15:08 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? | BUY | 0.6696490253 | $782.84 |
| 09-27 08:21 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |