0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03
0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d
- Realised P&L
- $52.1k
- Volume
- $3.65M
- Markets traded
- 664
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded664
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.370Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?
- +$7.6kat 0.192Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
- +$6.0kat 0.161Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?
- +$5.7kat 0.333Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
- +$5.0kat 0.470Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:38 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 08-03 01:38 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.5k |
| 07-28 00:01 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.0772727273 | $3.06 |
| 07-28 00:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.8490823466 | $1.2k |
| 07-27 02:32 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? | BUY | 0.9 | $130.58 |
| 07-27 02:32 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.12 |
| 07-27 01:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.6917706832 | $538.56 |
| 07-25 23:04 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m? | SELL | 0.8338415002 | $512.04 |
| 07-25 22:24 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 07-25 16:35 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.1511478059 | $23.39 |
| 07-25 04:34 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 07-25 02:43 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m? | BUY | 0.65 | $35.64 |
| 07-24 20:17 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.4k |
| 07-24 01:52 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 07-22 14:12 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m? | SELL | 0.15 | $43.20 |