PolyBot

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Traders

0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03

0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d

Realised P&L
$56.5k
Volume
$3.74M
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? · Yes0.7520.991$3.4k+$827.53
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? · No0.6750.715$2.0k+$112.20
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? · Yes0.0700.043$95.94−$58.08
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? · Yes0.3500.470$19.80+$5.06
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m? · Yes0.1600.150$13.68−$0.91
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? · Yes0.0300.065$2.60+$1.40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$165.85
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00−$3.5k
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$15.27
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$0.03
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? · No0.3510.000$0.00−$910.99
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$604.51
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$19.36
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$117.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 03:16Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?BUY0.696$34.80
10-17 03:16Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?BUY0.0899467519$8.45
10-17 01:06Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?BUY0.66$494.99
10-16 14:50Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?BUY0.7517238339$2.5k
10-05 02:29Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?BUY0.399095581$263.26
10-04 14:08Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?BUY0.1986619871$155.94
10-03 23:29Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?BUY0.5957246687$69.67
10-01 02:11Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?BUY0.722365241$478.82
09-28 05:21Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?SELL0.999$379.62
09-27 18:01Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.5136483658$63.81
09-27 17:59Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?SELL0.5157632299$32.07
09-27 15:27Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?BUY0.26$217.63
09-27 15:09Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?BUY0.693$339.96
09-27 15:08Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?BUY0.6696490253$782.84
09-27 08:21Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?SELL0.15$3.00