0x9192a91eda9373c5aaff89a02ba0cb5d89f430b0
0x9192a91eda9373c5aaff89a02ba0cb5d89f430b0
- Realised P&L
- $-252.50
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $64.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.455 | $41.36 | +$21.36 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.355 | $22.90 | +$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.14at 0.210Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-6.79at 0.218Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$-12.00at 0.027Will the US strike Iran next?
- +$-30.00at 0.398Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$-83.66at 0.343Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 06:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 06:35 | Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 12:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.2 | $51.43 |
| 07-22 12:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.209999997 | $54.00 |
| 02-04 21:45 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999867 | $12.00 |
| 01-27 06:11 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $113.81 |
| 01-19 08:02 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-17 22:26 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999989 | $129.00 |
| 01-16 13:48 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 23:25 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.23241782 | $176.34 |
| 01-14 22:06 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3483454326 | $130.00 |
| 01-14 22:03 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3484983192 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 21:53 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3043691637 | $30.00 |
| 01-14 21:49 | Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3976156316 | $30.00 |
| 01-13 21:07 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |