cryptopioid
0x9187d875fcc77dda0c0b1862b1ab44b55b9cabb5
- Realised P&L
- $-570.74
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $197.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.495 | 0.445 | $89.00 | −$10.00 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.480 | 0.665 | $73.14 | +$20.35 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.620 | 0.275 | $27.50 | −$34.50 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.210 | $7.71 | −$12.48 |
| GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.50 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.95at 0.637Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
- +$56.00at 0.510Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
- +$52.50at 0.260Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$50.50at 0.842Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?
- +$49.00at 0.590Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 22:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 20:21 | Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 04-17 17:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 01-16 20:41 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 01-16 20:07 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |