georgeioa
0x9186f83d5ce73ff999ab187127626e7026bec19e
- Realised P&L
- $-24.66
- Volume
- $463.09
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $22.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.915 | $18.30 | +$1.90 |
| Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.460 | $4.14 | +$0.54 |
| Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.22at 0.720Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$1.28at 0.390Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
- +$0.86at 0.710Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- +$-0.16at 0.440Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.55at 0.411Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:27 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.49 |
| 10-03 22:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.88 |
| 10-03 22:27 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.16 |
| 10-03 22:27 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-03 22:26 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 10-03 22:26 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 10-03 22:26 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-03 22:26 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 21:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |