igoria
0x91847dbc6a2d3c9cc8d05a1a84493602335fa2c0
- Realised P&L
- $-21.72
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $145.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No | 0.941 | 0.938 | $49.34 | −$0.16 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.990 | $47.87 | +$1.93 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.987 | $47.82 | +$1.77 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.972Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.10at 0.950Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.99at 0.980Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.980Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.54at 0.968Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:17 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9749999739 | $19.61 |