0x918323c6d6AB9d4d514Ca47E8C1964a78550c349-1777985582293
0x918323c6d6ab9d4d514ca47e8c1964a78550c349
- Realised P&L
- $-515.87
- Volume
- $38.6k
- Markets traded
- 427
- Open portfolio
- $555.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded427
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.815 | $446.58 | +$46.58 |
| Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? · Yes | 0.888 | 0.966 | $108.76 | +$8.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 5? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.18at 0.770Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
- +$228.13at 0.689Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
- +$174.38at 0.698Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
- +$99.20at 0.859Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$84.41at 0.871Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:01 | Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? | BUY | 0.8882235522 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 02:05 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0011281025 | $0.44 |
| 09-12 08:59 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 05:22 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $400.00 |
| 09-12 04:50 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | SELL | 0.9921494642 | $105.54 |
| 09-12 00:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.95389981 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 06:00 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 01:30 | Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 07:46 | Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.7494492298 | $200.00 |
| 08-29 15:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 14:13 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m? | BUY | 0.7661691537 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 16:19 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | SELL | 0.1368435991 | $50.14 |
| 08-23 13:40 | Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 11:03 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |