0x917ebf2682169b9c1e9ec7e41d2ab3e63cce516c
0x917ebf2682169b9c1e9ec7e41d2ab3e63cce516c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 478
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded478
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw? · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.755 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? · No | 0.780 | 0.785 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.92at 0.404Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$438.34at 0.485England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$78.29at 0.261England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
- +$25.60at 0.525Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?
- +$19.62at 0.705Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 03:49 | Will Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.35 |
| 10-08 03:48 | Will Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:47 | Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:46 | Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:13 | Will SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7979999646 | $3.74 |
| 10-07 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:21 | Will Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:21 | Will SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:25 | Will Mexico vs. Chile end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799999271 | $5.35 |
| 10-07 02:24 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.46 |
| 10-07 00:12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9089999923 | $4.98 |
| 10-07 00:11 | Argentina leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.23 |
| 10-06 22:44 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.36 |
| 10-06 22:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.13 |
| 10-06 22:43 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.47 |