erxt5
0x917e96c67835bc93ea51a5cdbd11d3b96ee31565
- Realised P&L
- $40.91
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $139.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.982 | $139.85 | +$2.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.58at 0.850 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$8.70at 0.920Will Berachain launch a token in November?
- +$6.29at 0.954Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$2.22at 0.980Base airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.55at 0.996Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:25 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9619999998 | $137.00 |
| 12-19 13:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $137.66 |
| 09-21 04:32 | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.9977025409 | $137.35 |
| 05-03 06:23 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $136.80 |
| 02-16 11:33 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9539999997 | $130.51 |
| 01-03 05:37 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999935 | $110.93 |
| 12-03 02:46 | Base airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.98 | $108.71 |
| 11-06 23:36 | Will Berachain launch a token in November? | BUY | 0.9199999996 | $100.01 |