PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9158d71abde51362bfe43eef2e6f8cdc8393486c

0x9158d71abde51362bfe43eef2e6f8cdc8393486c

Realised P&L
$-8.29
Volume
$67.16
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$2.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · Yes0.4900.985$2.01+$1.01
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.4100.050$0.12−$0.88
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.2400.024$0.10−$0.90
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.2600.003$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:26Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-28 00:56Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-27 16:45OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-27 05:32Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-26 18:37Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-26 07:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-22 15:28Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-22 06:52Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-21 22:51Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-21 14:51Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-21 06:50Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-20 22:39Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-19 05:45Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-17 23:10Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-17 04:55Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3699999593$1.00