0x91572B16dC769ef8b8F1F98D5270B05A36e3626b-1770128923810
0x91572b16dc769ef8b8f1f98d5270b05a36e3626b
- Realised P&L
- $11.6k
- Volume
- $561.9k
- Markets traded
- 533
- Open portfolio
- $70.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded533
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$936.96at 0.916Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$909.98at 0.808Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$815.67at 0.725Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?
- +$497.82at 0.547Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$493.10at 0.901Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.9k |
| 10-01 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.9k |
| 10-01 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97451 | $292.35 |
| 10-01 15:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.974 | $292.20 |
| 10-01 15:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.974 | $584.40 |
| 10-01 15:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.972 | $874.80 |
| 10-01 15:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.972 | $874.80 |
| 10-01 14:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97455 | $1.9k |
| 10-01 14:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 10-01 14:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 10-01 14:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.974 | $779.20 |
| 10-01 14:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.974 | $779.20 |
| 10-01 14:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.974 | $779.20 |
| 10-01 13:39 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.4k |
| 10-01 13:38 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $458.47 |