awkwardcat
0x91545ed9c5afee877ff30c77e260d9bdfc162003
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $343.6k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $23.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.205 | $19.59 | −$6.21 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.026 | $3.95 | −$32.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.62at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?
- +$40.45at 0.908Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?
- +$32.38at 0.950Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28?
- +$28.92at 0.953Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on July 25?
- +$25.38at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:17 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.27 | $25.80 |
| 10-03 05:16 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-03 05:16 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2390384615 | $12.43 |
| 05-18 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 05-18 11:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.82 |
| 02-18 02:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |
| 02-10 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.21 |
| 02-06 00:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |
| 02-04 12:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on February 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |
| 02-01 01:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on February 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |
| 01-28 00:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.2k |
| 01-28 00:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 01-23 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on January 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.9k |
| 01-23 02:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $104,000 on January 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 01-20 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |