PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9152C9d12189E376806B9A2E800e05171e4939Eb-1773489619155

0x9152c9d12189e376806b9a2e800e05171e4939eb

Realised P&L
$3.66
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$13.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9980.999$13.98+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.998$13.97
07-03 07:01Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 07:48Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$0.36
06-22 07:47Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.84
05-19 04:08Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.92
05-11 08:04Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$7.44
04-25 04:20Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$8.40
04-23 08:21Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$10.17
04-22 09:10Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$9.94
04-21 08:31Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$9.78
04-20 07:41Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.00
03-18 06:47Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.991$642.17
03-17 08:37Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.986$31.55
02-28 16:30Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?SELL0.999$22.02
02-12 00:40Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?BUY0.95$20.94