chet010
0x914eee11dafaafdae647fa3c9d1537a92348dea4
- Realised P&L
- $449.85
- Volume
- $792.7k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.990 | $2.7k | +$21.41 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No | 0.880 | 0.875 | $1.8k | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.983 | $1.4k | +$2.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.994 | $1.3k | +$26.80 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.974 | $1.2k | −$6.38 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $852.05 | +$0.64 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21? · No | 0.991 | 0.999 | $728.90 | +$5.48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21? · No | 0.992 | 0.999 | $4.99 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 4? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.18at 0.955Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?
- +$124.73at 0.925Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?
- +$117.63at 0.944Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27?
- +$96.29at 0.976Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?
- +$79.86at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21? | BUY | 0.982 | $438.95 |
| 10-20 15:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9799742489 | $1.1k |
| 10-20 15:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21? | BUY | 0.9774075829 | $412.47 |
| 10-20 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.9743333333 | $263.07 |
| 10-20 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-20 15:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 10-20 15:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? | BUY | 0.979 | $419.01 |
| 10-20 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.984 | $199.75 |
| 10-20 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.6k |
| 10-20 15:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 10-20 15:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? | BUY | 0.979 | $830.19 |
| 10-20 15:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21? | BUY | 0.991 | $594.60 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.984 | $196.80 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.984 | $487.08 |
| 10-20 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21? | SELL | 0.954 | $301.66 |