PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x914e501e697bdc6e126f7ac99762f4e780b179f3

Realised P&L
$131.78
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$205.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.8500.870$59.72+$1.34
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.8100.860$45.98+$2.67
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8780.977$43.17+$4.37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3390.466$34.33+$9.33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.925$20.04+$4.44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3600.105$1.76$4.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 06:57Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?BUY0.8099999979$43.31
09-03 06:56Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?BUY0.8504870146$58.38
08-15 08:35Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9199999906$39.06
06-17 18:28Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999963$15.60
06-02 17:25Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9749999191$10.85
06-02 17:25Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?BUY0.9099999996$43.93
06-01 15:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?BUY0.9809999948$29.34
06-01 13:36Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3389999942$25.00
06-01 13:35Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9384027186$47.00
05-26 10:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?BUY0.9699999781$26.96
05-25 10:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?BUY0.9840471044$26.85
05-22 07:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?BUY0.9699999719$26.20
05-21 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?BUY0.970999999$25.62
05-20 11:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?BUY0.9719999997$25.08
05-19 12:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?BUY0.92$23.23