Golden-Balls
0x914df7a72bc89a582ba60cc241ad78e3b2bce1e2
- Realised P&L
- $-263.65
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $274.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.972 | $231.07 | +$16.49 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.312 | 0.585 | $36.13 | +$16.84 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.953 | $6.92 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.16at 0.391Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
- +$74.36at 0.340Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
- +$68.56at 0.590Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
- +$50.75at 0.987Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?
- +$40.64at 0.980Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 09:02 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9587878788 | $6.96 |
| 07-14 07:47 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 07-14 07:46 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July? | BUY | 0.946 | $37.84 |
| 07-14 07:46 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in July? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 07-10 03:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $20.49 |
| 07-03 05:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $19.41 |
| 07-02 22:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July? | BUY | 0.972 | $29.16 |
| 07-02 22:03 | Will Solana dip to $40 in July? | BUY | 0.985 | $34.48 |
| 07-02 22:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.969 | $64.92 |
| 07-02 22:01 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in July? | BUY | 0.94 | $50.09 |
| 06-23 02:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-23 01:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 06-23 01:22 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 06-21 05:20 | Will Ethena reach $0.24 in June? | BUY | 0.993 | $39.72 |
| 06-21 05:19 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |