0x914932a4341d2fe564b91e0a31fc5880b05ff2da
- Realised P&L
- $-113.92
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $154.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: KC (-5.5) · KC | 0.499 | 0.505 | $23.99 | +$0.26 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.940 | $20.77 | +$9.06 |
| West Virginia vs. Virginia: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.850 | $19.88 | +$7.25 |
| West Virginia vs. Virginia: O/U 52.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.825 | $18.12 | +$6.92 |
| Fresno State vs. San Jose State · Fresno State | 0.660 | 0.645 | $15.42 | −$0.36 |
| Spread: Louisiana (-8.5) · Louisiana | 0.450 | 0.725 | $14.89 | +$5.65 |
| Spread: Louisiana (-9.5) · Louisiana | 0.430 | 0.730 | $14.58 | +$5.99 |
| Spread: San Diego State (-1.5) · James Madison | 0.480 | 0.475 | $10.24 | −$0.11 |
| Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) · Fresno State | 0.510 | 0.455 | $10.09 | −$1.22 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.571 | 0.125 | $3.75 | −$13.39 |
| Spread: Louisiana (-7.5) · Louisiana | 0.480 | 0.750 | $1.70 | +$0.61 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.560 | 0.055 | $1.31 | −$12.06 |
| Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.005 | $0.08 | −$8.26 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.73at 0.521Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
- +$62.31at 0.505Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
- +$60.27at 0.475Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
- +$56.51at 0.515Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
- +$56.43at 0.525Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:57 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5399998712 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 22:45 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5399998712 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 22:24 | West Virginia vs. Virginia: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.5399999974 | $12.63 |
| 09-19 22:24 | West Virginia vs. Virginia: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $11.20 |
| 09-19 22:22 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5399998712 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 22:22 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5399998729 | $1.53 |
| 09-19 22:22 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5399998712 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 22:22 | Ohio vs. South Alabama: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.539999903 | $2.45 |
| 09-19 20:38 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.56 | $13.37 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Utah State vs. Utah: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $10.35 |
| 09-19 16:24 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.5799997978 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 16:22 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.5799997978 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 16:02 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.5699999844 | $14.96 |
| 09-19 15:16 | Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4799999848 | $10.09 |
| 09-19 15:15 | Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999869 | $5.82 |