PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lucasrf

0x913c3f6d92acb3eacd6ea2df96011ad2799b3fb4

Realised P&L
$-25.73
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$8.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1710.081$2.37$2.63
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2000.345$1.73+$0.72
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5000.525$1.05+$0.05
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0870.010$0.58$4.42
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0660.035$0.54$0.46
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3510.161$0.46$0.54
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.007$0.38$4.63
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.155$0.35$0.65
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1430.009$0.33$4.67
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0980.007$0.30$3.69
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.011$0.13$0.87
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0780.001$0.01$0.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 00:29Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1$5.00
06-22 00:29Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1429999794$5.00
06-22 00:27Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.63$1.00
06-22 00:26Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY0.08$1.00
06-22 00:26Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
06-22 00:24Maduro guilty of all counts?SELL0.17$1.21
06-09 02:29Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.09
06-09 02:27Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.41$2.00
05-20 04:41Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
05-20 04:41Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0983374308$4.00
05-20 04:39Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?SELL0.11$1.22
05-20 04:39Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.013$2.60
05-20 04:39Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?SELL0.96$1.23
05-20 04:39Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL0.059$0.76
05-20 04:38Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.93$1.11