parkerjustin
0x912ee7d37331c3ad105bac2e3ebf2aa706e38efc
- Realised P&L
- $20.79
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $61.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 10.5 | 0.700 | 0.765 | $36.20 | +$3.08 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.715 | $13.71 | +$0.67 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? · No | 0.760 | 0.665 | $11.82 | −$1.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.94at 0.350Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$22.24at 0.280Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$4.99at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?
- +$4.13at 0.681Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$2.53at 0.999Ethereum all time high by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.6999999884 | $12.07 |
| 01-31 14:20 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.78 |
| 01-30 16:26 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999656 | $11.38 |
| 01-30 14:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.83 |
| 01-30 12:35 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.67 |
| 12-30 10:26 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.87 |
| 12-30 01:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.26 |
| 12-30 01:13 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999655 | $24.49 |
| 12-29 23:18 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.92 |
| 12-29 19:28 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.59 |
| 10-31 00:37 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.88 |
| 10-30 19:54 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.49 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.59 |
| 09-29 10:46 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.39 |
| 09-29 04:56 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.61 |