PolyBot

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Traders

Lepolo

0x912796652fc8df4d0964fcf677437057c55d6ff3

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$377.8k
Markets traded
791
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded791
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3320.360$2.0k+$157.28
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9260.918$440.65$3.76
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9120.992$404.75+$32.47
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8180.879$283.74+$20.00
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4890.675$228.34+$63.01
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1380.021$149.30$811.72
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4250.295$129.80$57.10
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9530.994$109.28+$4.46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9730.995$99.45+$2.15
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9120.978$97.75+$6.55
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1500.255$97.67+$40.22
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7600.865$63.15+$7.67
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2220.245$39.35+$3.64
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9510.982$39.26+$1.22
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9110.985$29.53+$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:11Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$3.19
08-27 17:48Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.333$1.8k
07-07 18:20Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.303$40.17
07-07 18:10Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7$333.20
07-07 18:09Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7$1.2k
07-07 18:09Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.21$143.81
07-07 14:52Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.22$102.52
07-07 12:51Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.119$8.08
07-07 12:51Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.111$15.54
07-07 12:20Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.17$12.51
07-07 12:13Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.16$2.77
07-07 12:12Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$1.95
07-07 09:04Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023$1.15
07-07 09:01Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5$12.50
06-08 15:12Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.039$1.75