Lepolo
0x912796652fc8df4d0964fcf677437057c55d6ff3
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $377.8k
- Markets traded
- 791
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded791
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$934.31at 0.007Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$386.62at 0.635Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
- +$347.84at 0.004Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$327.34at 0.015Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$310.51at 0.732Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:11 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.19 |
| 08-27 17:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.333 | $1.8k |
| 07-07 18:20 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.303 | $40.17 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7 | $333.20 |
| 07-07 18:09 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.2k |
| 07-07 18:09 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $143.81 |
| 07-07 14:52 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $102.52 |
| 07-07 12:51 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.119 | $8.08 |
| 07-07 12:51 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.111 | $15.54 |
| 07-07 12:20 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $12.51 |
| 07-07 12:13 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.77 |
| 07-07 12:12 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 07-07 09:04 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 07-07 09:01 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $12.50 |
| 06-08 15:12 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.75 |