tiedandan
0x912600e32e1f743b0fd23302b32a634681a5e89e
- Realised P&L
- $-135.43
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,387
- Open portfolio
- $3.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,387
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.80at 0.148Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 28?
- +$13.46at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
- +$9.81at 0.386Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 18?
- +$8.62at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$8.34at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.19 |
| 10-15 03:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.93 |
| 10-15 03:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.11 |
| 10-14 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.38 |
| 10-14 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.46 |
| 10-14 07:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-14 04:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.12 |
| 10-13 04:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.46 |
| 10-09 21:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.159 | $2.36 |
| 10-05 01:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.90 |
| 10-05 00:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.52 | $4.24 |
| 10-05 00:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.49 |
| 10-02 04:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.23 |
| 10-02 03:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.21 |
| 10-01 18:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |