Jmptrsn
0x9121ebee665ca0f3794a7d28b382d1eba57fd73f
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $320.6k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.997 | $1.4k | +$470.01 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.51 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.37 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$989.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.045Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$5.8kat 0.406US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.212Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.8kat 0.126Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.124Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 18:21 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $11.51 |
| 03-16 19:00 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.52 |
| 03-15 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0311084086 | $5.37 |
| 03-15 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0320046276 | $13.00 |
| 03-15 06:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $30.00 |
| 03-15 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0398726695 | $9.99 |
| 03-15 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1285347044 | $19.87 |
| 03-15 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0954198473 | $4.98 |
| 03-08 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3094430061 | $195.43 |
| 03-08 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8817756779 | $198.91 |
| 03-08 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9337344085 | $399.23 |
| 03-08 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $199.33 |
| 03-08 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8858651359 | $198.98 |
| 03-08 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199074396 | $195.93 |
| 03-08 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.759701288 | $295.00 |