0x911bca4d2041413077226c5c5aa4a761f7d1f4b5
- Realised P&L
- $-19.71
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $4.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.925 | $2.09 | −$0.01 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.820 | 0.815 | $2.09 | −$0.01 |
| CD Real Tomayapo to win the second half? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.31at 0.640New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$21.24at 0.389Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
- +$14.89at 0.487Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$9.80at 0.510Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$8.30at 0.570France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:02 | CD Real Tomayapo to win the second half? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce Nakashima | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 20:06 | Tiburon: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 20:06 | Rennes: Daniel Rincon vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:01 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:53 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 19:18 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.87 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 16:39 | Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | BUY | 0.6799999249 | $1.81 |
| 09-17 16:37 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8199999844 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 16:37 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999956 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 16:35 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8899999788 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 16:34 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:10 | Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera | SELL | 0.99 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:00 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.97 |