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0x9116b6b8de0c6e0eb9dcc6731cc5edd574a0fe64
- Realised P&L
- $184.11
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $192.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $192.31 | −$7.69 |
| Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 1 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to Advance · MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$214.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 0 Atalanta BC? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$639.97 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.094Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:48 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.13 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 16:44 | Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 16:43 | Exact Score: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 0 Atalanta BC? | BUY | 0.0674633758 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 16:42 | MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 10:09 | Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 1 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv? | BUY | 0.0215162399 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 10:09 | Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 19:51 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11? | SELL | 0.9800073595 | $1.1k |
| 08-10 20:24 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 17:17 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.096362067 | $400.00 |
| 08-01 17:16 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.3272906864 | $100.00 |