PolyBot

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Traders

mgb22

0x9116a3b5cee8d5cd6264da21e643088db299740b

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$591.9k
Markets traded
2,837
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,837
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · No0.7850.900$719.98+$92.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8250.755$144.75−$13.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5030.905$89.93+$39.92
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on October 21? · Yes0.0220.363$82.61+$77.61
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.971$73.31+$3.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.994$73.27+$3.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.956$71.36+$21.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.976$70.13+$10.13
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9570.979$68.02+$1.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5740.925$64.44+$24.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.965$63.14+$13.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.996$62.08+$2.08
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9740.996$58.28+$1.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.996$57.36+$1.37
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.962$52.02+$3.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.597$59.70
07-15 21:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.581$232.40
07-14 20:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0925$9.25
07-14 20:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0949999922$10.00
07-14 20:22France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-09 20:51Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.5974999636$5.00
07-09 20:51Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.5974999636$5.00
07-09 20:20Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.64$100.00
07-07 17:45Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.5699999939$15.00
07-07 17:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
07-03 21:37Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-03 21:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.334$33.40
07-01 17:43Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.38$164.51
07-01 17:35Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2$25.00
07-01 16:53Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4099999969$50.00