who0704
0x910a6f4f4604fcde13eabf48e9d774734dd88ce5
- Realised P&L
- $189.20
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $451.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.965 | $193.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No | 0.950 | 0.983 | $117.96 | +$3.96 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.935 | 0.963 | $49.09 | +$1.38 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.853 | $42.63 | +$0.13 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No | 0.920 | 0.980 | $29.39 | +$1.78 |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.981 | $19.62 | +$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.00at 0.570Capitals vs. Jets
- +$190.00at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 17?
- +$7.53at 0.930Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
- +$7.01at 0.500First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$4.61at 0.968Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $54.34 |
| 10-13 02:01 | Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 10-13 02:00 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-30 02:41 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.91 |
| 09-29 13:36 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 09-23 07:39 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.9354117647 | $47.71 |
| 09-23 07:35 | Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? | BUY | 0.994 | $49.70 |
| 09-23 04:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-23 03:58 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $114.00 |
| 09-23 03:26 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 09-23 03:21 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 09-23 03:16 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 09-23 03:16 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 09-23 03:16 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |