bugmaster86
0x9108740152eeb2bf19d28e6ff84e7b6f8b10eaad
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $275.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $21.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · No | 0.978 | 0.982 | $21.3k | +$65.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$618.89at 0.923Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?
- +$550.57at 0.973Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
- +$449.42at 0.890Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$327.29at 0.939Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$256.23at 0.951Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $57.74 |
| 10-01 16:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 10-01 15:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-30 06:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.9727895877 | $10.0k |
| 09-30 06:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.9714434668 | $10.0k |
| 06-01 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $73.99 |
| 06-01 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5540982967 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 05-28 13:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 05-22 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | SELL | 0.9682998369 | $7.9k |
| 05-22 08:30 | Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? | SELL | 0.8088130717 | $6.0k |
| 05-22 08:30 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.5594710077 | $3.8k |
| 05-22 08:30 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.8139507395 | $1.8k |
| 05-22 08:30 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.9335839262 | $9.5k |
| 05-22 08:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | SELL | 0.9647282971 | $4.7k |