su281
0x9106cf79b02f85d8f1e546802ed916648f44afcb
- Realised P&L
- $36.0k
- Volume
- $29.09M
- Markets traded
- 1,052
- Open portfolio
- $54.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,052
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.9kat 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$67.7kat 0.059Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
- +$62.6kat 0.520Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$54.8kat 0.079Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?
- +$45.5kat 0.059Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 00:19 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $189.81 |
| 10-20 00:18 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.614 | $153.51 |
| 10-20 00:15 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.61 | $316.58 |
| 10-19 12:31 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.615 | $6.15 |
| 10-19 12:31 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.315 | $90.35 |
| 10-17 14:21 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.803 | $80.30 |
| 10-17 08:18 | Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $67.50 |
| 10-16 22:50 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.652 | $130.43 |
| 10-16 11:52 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1821342102 | $298.56 |
| 10-16 11:41 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.151 | $28.39 |
| 10-16 03:18 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.641 | $2.3k |
| 10-16 00:42 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.84 | $446.50 |
| 10-16 00:36 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $184.87 |
| 10-16 00:28 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.91 | $23.77 |
| 10-16 00:27 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.88 | $656.97 |