PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pie

0x90eae61d32eed9c830e11981120f556d318c33ce

Realised P&L
$-345.77
Volume
$65.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7300.675$924.66−$75.34
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.9030.705$590.28−$165.84
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.5740.510$444.16−$55.84
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$199.57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$143.99
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$32.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 16:05Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.9030724489$756.12
10-06 16:04Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.5741186137$500.00
10-06 16:03Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7299999998$1000.00
06-02 07:15MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.008$144.00
02-28 00:14Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?SELL0.0030048067$11.54
02-27 22:20Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY0.0064289392$50.00
12-31 04:55Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?BUY0.9969295269$10.0k
12-31 04:54Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?SELL0.998$9.98
12-29 12:51Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.9959669587$10.0k
11-03 08:58Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4339999989$200.00
11-02 20:04Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.585$498.56
01-13 08:38Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?BUY0.03$6.86
01-13 08:35Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?BUY0.05$10.00
01-13 08:32Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?BUY0.05$3.00
01-13 08:30Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?BUY0.06$3.00