PolyBot

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Traders

ev1lbear

0x90d33891e0ca137ba2eca0b39cd33e791061e750

Realised P&L
$-28.91
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$34.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.5400.540$20.00+$0.00
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? · No0.6900.685$14.89−$0.11
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:16Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?BUY0.6899999995$15.00
10-05 07:53Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
10-01 08:49Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?BUY0.6719906398$15.00
09-28 14:08Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?SELL0.78$23.49
09-28 07:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.64$33.92
09-24 16:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699999911$15.00
09-22 16:16Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?SELL0.8154548473$24.56
09-21 16:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999984$15.00
09-21 07:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$20.00
09-18 15:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999947$20.00
09-17 08:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.24$7.66
09-16 07:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.049$2.33
09-15 10:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.88$25.53
09-15 06:22Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.512$11.69
09-14 08:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4699999944$15.00