PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aefgasky

0x90be1853969f32ce7bf790b4a4f1af1b8a5c6224

Realised P&L
$-282.21
Volume
$134.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$449.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9560.954$114.42$0.36
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.700$105.00$9.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.630$91.98$7.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.982$51.04+$0.08
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.959$28.77+$0.30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026? · No0.9900.983$22.61$0.16
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.7280.750$22.48+$0.65
PYUSD depeg by December 31? · No0.9300.935$13.46+$0.07
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No0.7300.000$0.00$109.50
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$29.28
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 12:53Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.73$109.50
09-12 12:52PYUSD depeg by December 31?BUY0.93$13.39
09-12 12:52Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.949$28.47
09-12 12:51Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.728$21.84
09-12 12:51Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?BUY0.99$22.77
09-12 12:50Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.991$53.51
08-07 13:50Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.95649525$114.78
08-07 13:49Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.68$99.28
08-07 13:49Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.76$114.00
08-07 13:48Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.982$53.03
06-19 09:27Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.98$50.96
06-19 09:27Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?BUY0.99$63.02
06-19 09:27Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.005$46.55
05-28 03:46Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.978$136.04
04-14 07:58Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.004$37.24