PolyBot

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Traders

ThelastairbenderX

0x90aefa5246fd8f07e5fdd9f2301111fdeeda2475

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$238.1k
Markets traded
1,284
Open portfolio
$0.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,284
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.2700.001$0.06$33.69
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.1900.001$0.02$8.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.0800.001$0.01$2.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? · No0.6000.001$0.01$15.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?SELL0.38$9.25
09-21 05:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?SELL0.35$6.80
09-21 05:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?SELL0.36$15.75
09-21 04:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?SELL0.47$123.38
09-20 23:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.5617520921$42.96
09-20 22:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.6$3.00
09-20 21:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.08$2.40
09-20 20:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21?SELL0.35$7.00
09-20 20:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21?SELL0.3624367028$38.08
09-20 20:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?SELL0.5$14.89
09-20 20:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.5766666667$8.65
09-20 20:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.5866666667$8.80
09-20 20:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.57$4.37
09-20 20:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.5881290926$31.44
09-20 19:25Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?SELL0.6613869626$47.69