ThelastairbenderX
0x90aefa5246fd8f07e5fdd9f2301111fdeeda2475
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $191.7k
- Markets traded
- 987
- Open portfolio
- $232.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded987
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? · No | 0.540 | 0.515 | $115.33 | −$5.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? · No | 0.500 | 0.465 | $67.42 | −$5.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.295 | $23.19 | −$4.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.130 | $22.04 | −$37.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.425 | $3.40 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.29at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4?
- +$45.18at 0.773Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?
- +$37.36at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?
- +$25.43at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?
- +$16.26at 0.766Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-07 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.10 |
| 08-07 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.89 |
| 08-06 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.56 | $35.16 |
| 08-06 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.38 |
| 08-06 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.6731075202 | $10.83 |
| 08-06 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.66234375 | $42.39 |
| 08-06 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.5217407955 | $59.94 |
| 08-06 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 08-06 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.53 |
| 08-06 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.4 | $13.91 |
| 08-06 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.41 | $14.26 |
| 08-06 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.22 |
| 08-06 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.3135011859 | $17.18 |
| 08-06 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |