DylanPowell1171
0x90ae5f3346cd8fed20f6bf0379e8d425d6ac44ad
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $324.7k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $7.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.050 | $4.75 | −$33.25 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.565 | $1.70 | +$0.20 |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.940 | 0.965 | $0.96 | +$0.02 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$1.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.40at 0.480Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
- +$139.55at 0.580Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?
- +$135.20at 0.782Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$111.14at 0.452Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
- +$106.68at 0.110Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (March 22)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 17:07 | Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $10.62 |
| 03-25 06:14 | Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $945.18 |
| 03-24 08:08 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.74 | $101.38 |
| 03-24 08:06 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.72 | $217.44 |
| 03-24 08:05 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.72 | $627.12 |
| 03-23 03:56 | Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? | BUY | 0.86 | $164.26 |
| 03-21 19:28 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.76 | $23.56 |
| 03-20 10:28 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.1k |
| 03-19 05:51 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $74.10 |
| 03-19 02:07 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $52.71 |
| 03-18 15:19 | Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | SELL | 0.79 | $329.43 |
| 03-17 04:02 | Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.87 | $362.79 |
| 03-17 01:13 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $185.89 |
| 03-16 08:20 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.32 |
| 03-16 01:45 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $17.16 |