0x90aBba72D5eDEc2Fa2eF3148f3da9A5B15654D26-1772790633054
0x90abba72d5edec2fa2ef3148f3da9a5b15654d26
- Realised P&L
- $164.36
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $785.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.991 | $277.34 | +$4.06 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $198.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $114.89 | +$0.00 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $114.48 | −$0.40 |
| Will Solana dip to $0 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $79.96 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.02at 0.977Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.920Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 20 2026?
- +$15.10at 0.980GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
- +$12.00at 0.840Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$8.10at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:15 | Will Solana dip to $0 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-03 05:54 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 3 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $195.40 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.9651 | $193.02 |
| 08-01 07:12 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-27 14:39 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 07-27 04:07 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $250.25 |
| 07-18 09:45 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9963025851 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 09:42 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$20 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-18 09:42 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 07-18 09:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-18 09:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-15 02:02 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 13 above $110? | BUY | 0.9977965649 | $103.00 |