0x90aBba72D5eDEc2Fa2eF3148f3da9A5B15654D26-1772790633054
0x90abba72d5edec2fa2ef3148f3da9a5b15654d26
- Realised P&L
- $180.81
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $251.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $40 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $202.49 | −$0.30 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $4.00? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $49.08 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.30at 0.978Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$15.36at 0.923Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 20 2026?
- +$15.10at 0.980GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
- +$10.45at 0.845Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$8.10at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:24 | Will Solana dip to $40 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.80 |
| 08-24 06:37 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August? | BUY | 0.9766577699 | $256.00 |
| 08-17 11:21 | Will XRP dip to $0.30 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.9983344426 | $150.00 |
| 08-17 11:21 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-17 09:07 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $40? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-16 02:20 | Will Ethena reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $136.62 |
| 08-15 14:26 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.96 |
| 08-15 14:25 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-15 14:22 | Will XRP dip to $0.30 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-12 10:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.95 |
| 08-12 10:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-10 11:23 | Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.93 |
| 08-10 11:21 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.77 |
| 08-10 11:21 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9986818043 | $36.00 |
| 08-10 11:20 | Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.70 |